GLOBAL TEMPERATURE

WERE SCIENTISTS CORRECT TO WARN OF GLOBAL COOLING IN 1960/70s?
and
ARE SCIENTISTS CORRECT TO WARN OF GLOBAL WARMING IN 2000s?

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
AND CO2
SAVED THE GLOBE FROM ANOTHER LITTLE ICE AGE

 

 

Legend:

-   Earth's Magnetic Feld intensity at the North Pole (blue line -x-)

-   GISS Global Temperature (thin red line to 1940, thick red line post 1940)

-   Re-trended EMF post 1940 to match the GT rise after 1940 (thick green line), forecast GT up to 6 year ahead.

-   GISS Global Temperature values if CO2 concentration was constant since 1942 (thick magenta line)

 

Assumptions:

-          Solar input has relatively a minor effect on the decadal  Global Temperature's trend.

-          Polar jet stream trajectory is cantered on the geographic pole.

-          Polar jet stream is ionized by impact of charged particles and the gamma rays.

-          Polar jet stream's radius is function of degree of ionization and the geomagnetic field strength.

-          Effect of the global increase in the CO2 concentration is significant post 1940s. (1940 = 305 ppm, 2010 = 403 ppm)

-          Global temperature rise as shown in the GISS data is function mainly of two variables: CO2 and geomagnetic intensity,

 

Facts:

-          There was a significant rise in the CO2 concentration since 1940

-          Strength of the Earth's magnetic field has changed due to the changes in the magnetic dipole intensity and the distance

 of magnetic and geographic pole.

 

Analysis:

        -    1940 - 2010

        -    CO2 change 309ppm to 403 ppm    = 30%

        -    Temperature change projected span  0.980C

  -    The above would suggests 30C increase in the Global Temperature for doubling of CO2 concentration.



Data:
NOAA geomagnetic http://ngdc.noaa.gov/geomagmodels/IGRFWMM.jsp 
use Vertical component (Bz), column 7 (note: use inverted y scale).
GISS temp: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A2.txt 

 

 

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More charts can be found here: Graphs and Formulae


© m.a. vukcevic