Legend:
- Earth's Magnetic Feld intensity at the North Pole (blue line -x-)
- GISS Global Temperature (thin red line to 1940, thick red line post 1940)
- Re-trended EMF post 1940 to match the GT rise after 1940 (thick green line), forecast GT up to 6 year ahead.
- GISS Global Temperature values if CO2 concentration was constant since 1942 (thick magenta line)
Assumptions:
- Solar input has relatively a minor effect on the decadal Global Temperature's trend.
- Polar jet stream trajectory is cantered on the geographic pole.
- Polar jet stream is ionized by impact of charged particles and the gamma rays.
- Polar jet stream's radius is function of degree of ionization and the geomagnetic field strength.
- Effect of the global increase in the CO2 concentration is significant post 1940s. (1940 = 305 ppm, 2010 = 403 ppm)
- Global temperature rise as shown in the GISS data is function mainly of two variables: CO2 and geomagnetic intensity,
Facts:
- There was a significant rise in the CO2 concentration since 1940
- Strength of the Earth's magnetic field has changed due to the changes in the magnetic dipole intensity and the distance
of magnetic and geographic pole.
Analysis:
- 1940 - 2010
- CO2 change 309ppm to 403 ppm = 30%
- Temperature change projected span 0.980C
- The above would suggests 30C increase in the Global Temperature for doubling of CO2 concentration.
Data:
NOAA geomagnetic http://ngdc.noaa.gov/geomagmodels/IGRFWMM.jsp
use Vertical component (Bz), column 7 (note: use inverted y scale).
GISS temp: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A2.txt
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More charts can be found here: Graphs and Formulae