NORTH ATLANTIC NATURAL VARIABILITY
EXTRAPOLATION
GLOBAL NATURAL VARIABILITY has SIMILAR trend as the CET variability, but with less prominent oscillations due to the world-wide averaging
Natural variability function is a simple equation directly derived from the CET data, in the long term it is trend-less. The function is directly added to the CET 350 year long trend of 0.250 C/ century. Despite the permanent underlining up-trend, there is a natural drop starting in 2006. The natural variability function has high correlation with the components of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) giving it enhanced credibility.


© m.a. vukcevic